The global railway system market is expected to grow forth at a CAGR of 4.8% during the period 2023 to 2033. The market is estimated at USD 28,278.1 million as of 2023. By 2033, the market is expected to cross a valuation of USD 45,192.2 million.
Some of the factors which are expected to support the market growth are:
Surging urbanization worldwide has led to an increase in disposable income. This has led to an increase in the number of people who have started using their own vehicles. Consequently, road congestion has been getting worse, thereby causing a lack of efficiency offered by road infrastructure. This might well increase the demand for railway systems during the forecast period. Moreover, the advancement of the railway infrastructure and increased application of digital solutions are also expected to surge the market share.
Furthermore, massive investments from the ruling authorities and corporates worldwide are also expected to brighten up the prospects for the railway network the world. For example, in June 2022, the USA government announced over USD 368 million to improve the rail infrastructure. Likewise, the Deutsche Bank, along with the federal and regional governments in Germany announced an investment of USD 15.4 billion in February 2022.
Moreover, there are a lot of countries that are making use of renewable sources of energy. The intention behind adopting renewable sources of energy is to reduce pollution. Moreover, railway authorities in a lot of nations are set to develop green rail corridors in a bid to preserve the ecosystem. Most importantly, there are countries like India that have pledged to operate ‘Green Railways’ by electrifying all the routes before 2030. Such moves might well surge the sales of railway systems during the forecast period.
With the aviation sector getting massively impacted because of a surge in covid 19 cases, especially those pertaining to overseas, investors have started pouring money into railways. Furthermore, the load-bearing capacity in the case of railways is much higher as compared to airlines. Additionally, the fuel charge associated with the usage of the railway system is much lower as compared to airlines, which could further expand the railway network connection.
However, the development of railways and railway systems is a capital-intensive process. In addition to that, it takes a lot of time for the invested amount to recover. This is owing to the fact that the investment in a lot of cases goes up to billions. Moreover, a natural or man-made disaster may lead to the entire process going for a toss. These factors might challenge the growth of the market during the forecast period.
North America is expected to be the largest market for railway systems during the forecast period. North America also has the best railway system in the world. This can be attributed to the adoption of the latest technologies like IoT, AI, etc. which makes the entire process user-friendly. Apart from that, the presence of key manufacturers in the region is also expected to surge the market growth during the forecast period. Moreover, the massive growth of the E-commerce sector in the region also presents promising prospects. However, the Asia Pacific region is expected to exhibit the highest CAGR. Massive government initiatives and affordable fares are expected to be the major factors surging the growth.
| Attributes | Value |
|---|---|
| Railway System Market Value (2022) | USD 26,854.8 million |
| Railway System Market Value (2023) | USD 28,278.1 million |
| Railway System Market Forecast Value (2033) | USD 45,192.2 million |
| Railway System Market Expected CAGR (2023 to 2033) | 4.8% |
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The application of the latest technologies and massive investments in Research and Development (R&D) has led to a surge in the market share of railway systems. Cheap fares and reliability are some of the most amazing benefits offered by the application railway systems to name a few. These factors have led to an increase in the CAGR. The historical CAGR for the market was 3%, and the anticipated CAGR is 4.8%. The short-term, medium-term, and long-term impact of various factors on the market can be given as follows:
Short-term (2023 to 2026): During this period, we might get to witness a lot of firms experimenting on the basis of R&D. This would certainly be possible through collaborative efforts. Quite recently, Alstom demonstrated fully autonomous driving of a shunting locomotive in the Netherlands.
Medium-term (2026 to 2029): At this point in time, the market might reap the benefits of consistent technological upgradation. AI is expected to be a basic necessity instead of being the talk of the town. It would assist the market in asset management, maintenance, and emergency notification. Moreover, the passengers would also benefit from advanced information systems, which would improve transportation services and passenger satisfaction.
Long-term (2029 to 2033): The focus would be more on the automation aspect. With the industry experiencing a lot of benefits because of R&D and technology, the key players would take the product/service a notch higher. The companies are expected to make use of robotic systems at a large scale for infrastructure cleaning. The companies are also expected to make use of drone technology for remote inspection.
The railway system market is expected to be driven by the increased adoption of the internet of trains. It is known to have a positive impact on reliability and safety. The condition-based monitoring which is offered by the internet of trains prevents delays because of track and train part failures. Additionally, the advanced analytics offered by the internet of trains allows the operators to derive data-based solutions. This would certainly help in fleet control and efficiency.
By making use of sensors, Bluetooth devices, and prediction railway software, the users could determine when to open and close rail crossings. This information is conveyed to the drivers through information systems, like mobile apps. The application of the internet of trains also provides a GPS tracking solution and provides a comprehensive overview of the fleet location. The rail services operators have greatly benefited from the internet of trains as the application has helped in determining early detection of potential failures.
Automation in the railway system is currently solving a lot of problems. With the evolution of the electronics and the mechanical sector, it is expected that things would get much easier using automation. The automation systems have been instrumental in controlling the speed of the train, thereby preventing accidents. Owing to this, energy consumption is also drastically reduced.
The railway systems can optimize routes and avoid problems through automation. This is done by communicating with other parts of the system. Some of the communication systems which work through automation are Bluetooth-based systems and GPS-based systems.
The automation is reliable to the extent that the railway devices that operate via automation can be used as the control centers for other automated systems as well. All these factors are expected to surge the adoption of the railway system.
The new entrants in the railway system market are developing mobile communication systems, which are enhanced with 5G technology. This would assist in low-latency communication and high performance. Furthermore, they would also assist in the development of span train positioning, control, maintenance, and passenger data collection.
Passenger: This Czech-based A has been developing a platform that provides wi-fi connection and infotainment for railway passengers. The connectivity solution offered by passengers gives travelers access to onboard entertainment, news, as well as travel and accommodation information. Moreover, the connected solution offered by the Start-up support the train’s passenger information and ticketing systems, information pertaining to route, and CCTV.
In September 2022, Passenger presented at the Innotrans event and presented its advanced modular solution for 5G and wi-fi 6 connectivity and PIS controller.
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Based on the application, the passenger transportation segment has the highest market share at 64.8%. Key players across the globe are on a mission to ensure that the trains they manufacture run on electricity. This is expected to reduce air pollution to a great extent. Furthermore, rail travel is less likely to back up because of adverse weather conditions, which is not the case with air travel. Apart from that, the number of travelers is expected to increase exponentially after the lockdown, which is further expected to surge the market share.
The new entrants in the railway system market are developing mobile communication systems, which are enhanced with 5G technology. This would assist in low-latency communication and high performance. Furthermore, they would also assist in the development of span train positioning, control, maintenance, and passenger data collection.
Passenger: This Czech-based A has been developing a platform that provides wi-fi connection and infotainment for railway passengers. The connectivity solution offered by passengers gives travelers access to onboard entertainment, news, as well as travel and accommodation information. Moreover, the connected solution offered by the Start-up support the train’s passenger information and ticketing systems, information pertaining to route, and CCTV.
In September 2022, Passenger presented at the Innotrans event and presented its advanced modular solution for 5G and wi-fi 6 connectivity and PIS controller.
The manufacturers are looking to enter into a strategic collaboration with key players from another niche. The idea is to ensure that the best possible service is provided to travelers through the process of knowledge sharing and technology exchange. In December 2022, Alstom entered into a strategic partnership with Arcada to modernize 66 km of the Romanian Cluj-Oradea railway line. Alstom will provide ERTMS level 2, digital traffic control solutions, and electrification, while Arcada will oversee civil works.
Some of the recent developments are:
| Company | Description |
|---|---|
| ABB | ABB is a technology leader in electrification and automation and enables a sustainable and resource-efficient future. The solutions offered by ABB connect the company’s know-how to optimize how things are manufactured, moved, and powered. By serving the market for more than a century, the company is committed to driving innovations that accelerate industrial transformation. ABB has been working in the areas of electrification, smart motion, process automation, robotics, and discrete automation. ABB’s purpose has been to enable a more sustainable and resource-efficient future with technology leadership in electrification and automation. |
| Alstom | From high-speed trains, metros, and monorails, to turnkey systems, services, and infrastructure, Alstom has been providing the broadest portfolio. In 2021, the company was included in the Dow Jones Sustainability Indices, World and Europe, for the 11th consecutive time. The company has taken up the responsibility to support the transition to sustainable mobility solutions which is accessible. Alstom has been striving to develop efficient and sustainable solutions. Moreover, the company has been thriving by adopting a culture of diversity and integrity. |
| Hyundai Rotem | Hyundai Rotem has been specializing in manufacturing rolling stock, military equipment, and plant engineering. The company has been into electric multiple units, high-speed trains, engine locomotives, wireless trams, and magnetic levitation trains. The company also specializes in developing trains powered by hydrogen fuel. Industrial wearable robot technology assists field workers at sites like automobile production lines and steel mills. Apart from that, Hyundai Rotem has also been developing smart unmanned weapon systems along with tanks and armored vehicles. |
Other companies profiled: CRRC, Siemens, Thermo King, Knorr Bremese, Mitsubishi Heavy Industries, Toshiba, and Hitachi.
The market is valued at USD 28,278.1 million in 2023.
Increased traffic on the roads is the primary driver of the market.
The market is expected to reach USD 45,192.2 million in 2033.
The market was valued at USD 26,854.8 million in 2022.
CRRC, Siemens, Thermo King, and Knorr Bremese are the key market players.
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