Driveline Additive Market Outlook for 2023 to 2033

The driveline additive market is estimated to be valued at USD 9.3 billion in 2023. The market is expected to reach USD 15.2 billion by 2033, developing at a CAGR of 5.1%.

Driveline Additive Market Trend Analysis

  • Rising fuel costs and growing consumer inclination for improving the fuel efficiency of vehicles are poised to drive the market over the next few years.
  • Increasing implementation of stringent emission norms worldwide is expected to bode well for the global driveline additive market.
  • The growing technological innovation influences the development of advanced driveline additives.
Attributes Key Insights
Driveline Additive Market Estimated Size in 2023 USD 9.3 billion
Projected Market Value in 2033 USD 15.2 billion
Value-based CAGR from 2023 to 2033 5.1%

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2018 to 2022 Historical Analysis vs. 2023 to 2033 Market Forecast Projections

A study by our analysts found that a 4.0% CAGR was experienced between 2018 and 2022 in the driveline additive market. Global demand for driveline additives is predicted to increase at a CAGR of 5.1% from 2023 to 2033.

The driveline additive market has been significantly influenced by specific industry, economic, and innovation factors, including automotive sales, increasing per capita disposable income, product innovations, and others.

Some of the critical trends for the driveline additive market are that vital players constantly strive to reduce vehicle carbon emissions by improving lubricity. Key players focus on expanding capacity and launching innovative products to serve key end users.

Rising adoption of innovative technologies such as Dual Clutch Technology (DCT) and high investment in research and development to launch new products. The growth outlook of the market remains significant in the Asia Pacific region owing to higher sales of automotive and an increase in fleet size in the area.

Historical CAGR from 2018 to 2022 4.0%
Forecast CAGR from 2023 to 2033 5.1%

Driveline Additive Market Drivers

  • Rising consumer inclination towards enhancing the fuel efficiency of vehicles.
  • The increasing number of on-road and off-road vehicles will continue pushing sales for driveline additives.
  • Increasing innovations and advancement of technology in the automotive industry are expected to remain key driving factors for the market.
  • An increase in global automotive production directly impacts the demand for driveline additives. There is a higher need for driveline lubricants and additives to ensure smooth and efficient drivetrain operation.
  • The rapid expansion of the global vehicle fleet, including passenger cars, trucks, and commercial vehicles, leads to increased maintenance and aftermarket opportunities
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Nikhil Kaitwade

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Driveline Additive Market Restraints

  • Economic recessions and downturns can lead to reduced vehicle production, decreased consumer spending on automotive maintenance, and a slowdown in the aftermarket, impacting the demand for driveline additive.
  • Fluctuations in raw material prices can affect driveline additive manufacturers' production costs and profitability.
  • As the adoption of electric vehicles (EVs) grows, there will be a reduction in traditional internal combustion engine (ICE) vehicles with conventional driveline components. This shift may affect the demand for driveline additives in the long term.
  • Lack of awareness among some consumers and businesses about these products, or they may be hesitant to adopt them, particularly in regions with limited access to information.

Country-wise Insights

The table below showcases revenues in the top 5 leading countries, spearheaded by the United States and the China. Through 2033, these two countries are likely to dominate the market, with a size of USD 8.2 billion and USD 7.5 billion.

Expected Market Values in 2033

Russia USD 7.1 billion
India USD 6.8 billion
The United States USD 8.2 billion
China USD 7.5 billion
The United Kingdom USD 7.8 billion

Forecast CAGRs from 2023 to 2033

Russia 4.7%
India 4.5%
The United States 5.0%
China 4.8%
The United Kingdom 4.9%

Industrialization in China to Spur the Demand for Driveline Additive

China is estimated to account for 45.3% of the driveline additives market share in 2023. China is expected to remain a key producer of driveline additives globally. This can be mainly attributed to rapid industrialization in the country. The country has continuing requirements for extended hardware durability.

Extended hardware durability translates directly to increased profitability and returns on investment for everyone in the supply chain. The country is a potentially lucrative area in terms of opportunity for key players in the global driveline additive market, putting the product in high demand in the coming years. This is expected to augment the growth of the driveline additive market in China.

Presence of Key Market Players Drive Demand for Driveline Additive Growing in the United States

The United States will account for approximately 68.8% of the North American driveline additive market in 2033. In 2033, the market is expected to grow by 5.0% year-on-year, reaching a valuation of USD 8.2 billion by the end of 2033.

High investments in research and development to bring advanced automotive technologies are augmenting the sales of driveline additives in the country. The United States ranks high in the annual global production of commercial vehicles, with a significant number of deals and production of cars. The presence of key companies like Lubrizol Corporation, Afton Chemical, and Chevron Oronite Company, LLC is expected to bolster the growth of these products in the country.

Rising OEM Requirement to Drive the Market Demand in Russia

Russia is projected to account for 15.7% of the global driveline additive market share by 2033 end. Increasing adoption of Continuously Variable Transmission (CVT) and the development of transmissions with high operational temperatures, along with an increasing demand for longer drain intervals from the OEMs, is expected to generate a high demand for driveline additives over the forecast period in the country.

Profit-bearing growth strategies and product innovations by many key players are expected to propel sales of driveline additives over the assessment period.

Growing Demand for Premium Cars in the United Kingdom to Fuel the Growth

The demand for driveline additives in the United Kingdom is projected to account for a CAGR of 4.9% by the end of 2033. The growing popularity of automatic transmission cars and an increase in domestic players is anticipated to spur market growth.

The country has witnessed notable growth in premium vehicles, which will significantly propel the demand for driveline additives. The growing automotive industry's strong focus on automotive vehicles drives the market demand. Driveline additives are used in passenger cars and industrial applications, emphasizing precision engineering and performance enhancement.

Growing Automotive Industry in India to Push Sales

Improving growth prospects for automotive manufacturers owing to increasing automotive sales in India is likely to create opportunities for the driveline additive market.

Demand for driveline additives is growing as consumers seek ways to improve the performance and longevity of their vehicles. The agricultural sector, which relies heavily on tractors and other machinery, also contributes to the demand for driveline additives.

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Category-wise Insights

According to market forecasts, the liquid segment is predicted to dominate until 2033, with a market share of 88%.

Category Market share
Transmission Fuel Additives 59%
Passenger Car 56%

Sales of Transmission Fluid Additive Increasing

Transmission fluid driveline additive sales are expected to grow at a 5.1% CAGR from 2023 to 2033. Growing demand for increased fuel efficiency from OEMs and rising adoption of innovative technologies such as dual clutch technology (DCT) are poised to drive demand for transmission fluid additives over the forecast period.

There has also been a growth in preference for transmission fluid additives in the Asia Pacific, Excluding the Japan region. Owing to these factors, sales of transmission fluid additives are projected to increase over the forecast period.

Amongst the various applications, the passenger cars application segment is projected to remain one of the key segments, and the segment is estimated to account for about 57% of the overall consumption of driveline additives globally. Growth in the sales of passenger cars all over the globe has bolstered the segment in the driveline additives market.

Competitive Landscape

Key players operating in the driveline additive market focus on sustainable development and invest in advancing technology for developing organic driveline additive. Players focus on production expansions and innovative product launches to serve more end users in the domestic market to gain a competitive edge. For instance

  • Lubrizol offers a driveline additive to improve efficiency and protect critical components. It has developed sulfur-phosphorus-based chemistry to meet the performance needs of hypoid gears. The company is focusing on creating its monopoly in the market by offering thermally stable additive technology to meet the needs of higher speeds and loads.
  • In October 2022, Infineum and Entegris, Inc. announced that the companies have entered into a definitive agreement for Infineum to acquire Entegris’ Pipeline and Industrial Materials business (PIM). Entegris’ PIM business is part of the company’s Specialty Chemicals and Engineered Materials (SCEM) division. It includes the Flowchem, Val-Tex, and Sealweld brands and a range of Drag Reducing Agents (DRAs) for pipeline operations.

Report Scope

Attributes Details
Estimated Market Size in 2023 USD 9.2 billion
Projected Market Valuation in 2033 USD 15.2 billion
Value-based CAGR 2023 to 2033 5.1%
Forecast Period 2023 to 2033
Historical Data Available for 2018 to 2022
Market Analysis Value in USD billion
Key Regions Covered North America; Latin America; Western Europe; Eastern Europe; South Asia and Pacific; East Asia; Middle East and Africa
Key Market Segments Covered Product Type, Application, Region
Key Countries Profiled The United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico, Germany, The United Kingdom, France, Spain, Italy, Russia, Poland, Czech Republic, Romania, India, Bangladesh, Australia, New Zealand, China, Japan, South Korea, GCC countries, South Africa, Israel
Key Companies Profiled Lubrizol Corporation; Chevron Oronite Company, LLC; BRB International BV; Vanderbilt Chemicals, LLC; Infineum International Limited; Afton Chemical; Lubrilic Corporation; . BASF SE; Evonik Industries AG.; The Lubrizol Corporation.

Market Segmentation for

By Product Type:

  • Transmission Fluid Additive
  • Gear Oil Additive

By Application:

  • Passenger Cars
  • Commercial Vehicles
  • Off-Highway Vehicles

By Region:

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Western Europe
  • Eastern Europe
  • South Asia and Pacific
  • East Asia
  • Middle East and Africa

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the market value for the driveline additive market in 2023?

As of 2023, the market for driveline additives is expected to be valued at USD 9.3 billion, as per FMI.

According to FMI, what is the anticipated market value for driveline additive in 2033?

By 2033, the market value of driveline additives is expected to reach USD 15.2 billion.

What is the projected forecast CAGR for the driveline additive market from 2023 to 2033?

From 2023 to 2033, driveline additive sales are expected to flourish at a CAGR of 5.1%

Which segment is dominant in the driveline additive market?

The transmission fluid additives segment will account for a market share of 59% in 2022.

Which country is likely to be at the pinnacle of the market?

The United States is likely the top-performing market and is expected to account for a share of 68.8% by 2033.

Table of Content
	1. Executive Summary
	2. Market Overview
	3. Market Background
	4. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast, 2023 to 2033
	5. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Product Type
		5.1. Transmission Fluid Additive
		5.2. Gear Oil Additive
	6. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Application
		6.1. Passenger Cars
		6.2. Commercial Vehicles
		6.3. Off-Highway Vehicles
	7. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Region
		7.1. North America
		7.2. Latin America
		7.3. Western Europe
		7.4. Eastern Europe
		7.5. South Asia and Pacific
		7.6. East Asia
		7.7. Middle East and Africa
	8. North America Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	9. Latin America Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	10. Western Europe Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	11. Eastern Europe Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	12. South Asia and Pacific Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	13. East Asia Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	14. Middle East and Africa Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country
	15. Key Countries Market Analysis
	16. Market Structure Analysis
	17. Competition Analysis
		17.1. Lubrizol Corporation
		17.2. Chevron Oronite Company, LLC
		17.3. BRB International BV
		17.4. Vanderbilt Chemicals, LLC
		17.5. Infineum International Limited
		17.6. Afton Chemical
		17.7. Lubrilic Corporation
		17.8. BASF SE
		17.9. Evonik Industries AG
		17.10. The Lubrizol Corporation
	18. Assumptions & Acronyms Used
	19. Research Methodology
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