Dairy Products Market Outlook

The net worth of the market share of dairy products is predicted to grow from USD 529.05 billion in 2023 to over USD 845.50 billion by 2033. The market is expected to register a CAGR of 4.8% from 2023 to 2033.

It is the consumer demand for healthy on-the-go snack options that drives sales of dairy products across the globe. Dairy-based products are naturally high in calcium, making them a healthy snack choice.

There has been a growing interest in probiotic drinks due to their health benefits, particularly their ability to improve digestion and the immune system. Health and wellness trends have led consumers to prefer dairy snacks that are low-fat, lactose-free, and calcium-enriched.

As incomes have increased and nations have become increasingly urbanized over the past several decades, individuals have become more interested in eating proteins (such as dairy) than grains due to an increase in income and urbanization.

Growth Impacting Factors for Dairy Products Industry

  • Dairy products are being consumed more widely around the world. Consumers are changing their preferences from regular meat to dairy products to get enough protein daily. Additionally, the forecast period is expected to see growth in the bakery and confectionery market as milk is the primary ingredient in the majority of bakery products. This is expected to drive the dairy product market.
  • Several lactose-intolerant consumers are a major hindrance to the dairy product market. Lactose intolerance occurs when a person cannot digest lactose (a constituent found in all dairy products). More than 60% of the global population cannot digest lactose after they are born.
  • The emergence of vegan consumers in recent years has also restrained the dairy products market. Lactose intolerance is very common among African and Arab people. In the aforementioned forecast period, this trend is predicted to hinder the overall market growth. Veganism promotes the boycott of all animal-based products, such as meat and milk.
  • The growing global population is a key opportunity for the dairy product market. This rapid population growth is expected to create new markets for dairy products. The market for infant formula in African countries, as well as in the Indian subcontinent, is expected to grow as a result of rising infant malnutrition. In turn, these factors are expected to increase the dairy product market during the same period.
Attributes Details
Dairy Products Market Value (2023) USD 529.05 billion
Dairy Products Market Expected Value (2033) USD 845.50 billion
Dairy Products Market Projected CAGR (2023 to 2033) 4.8%

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Global Dairy Products Market Historical Analysis (2017 to 2022) Vs. Forecast Outlook (2023 to 2033)

Although dairy product consumption outside the home returned to normal after the pandemic, in-home consumption has grown in recent years. Lactalis, a key player in this market, is estimated to have experienced a 5.9% increase in sales in FY 2021, according to Dairy Global.

The variety of dairy products is increasing, which eventually increases consumers' interest in them. Therefore, consistency in developing high-quality products is driving the market. As an example, Saputo Dairy USA introduced new Italian cheese products under its Stella brand in January 2022. This included Stella Parmigiano Reggiano Wedge, Stella Shredded Cup, and Stella Grana Padano Wedge.

Global economic activity was halted due to lockdown measures imposed by governments across the globe to stop people from moving around. Due to these lockdowns, industrial activities ceased and international travel was canceled.

A significant number of industrial sectors were affected by these measures. Factories and manufacturing facilities also faced supply chain breakdowns and labor shortages as a result of the pandemic. Due to labor shortages and disruptions in raw material supplies, dairy products manufacturing projects have been slowed.

Global trade has been disrupted in such ways that projects under construction were delayed, resulting in higher capital expenditures (CAPEX) for dairy product manufacturing projects, which in turn caused the supply of dairy products to cease. Due to the Coronavirus pandemic, the world continues to face unprecedented challenges.

Supply-demand disruptions are causing supply chain problems for dairy product manufacturers, and developing long-term strategies has become difficult. Concerns about freight rates and container shortages have exacerbated supply chain problems. As a result, raw material prices spiked sharply, creating a panic situation among dairy product manufacturers.

  • Short Term (2023 to 2026): Companies manufacturing dairy products are outperforming their competitors, as they responded to the pandemic with great agility and quickly started production.
  • Medium Term (2026 to 2029): Increasingly, consumers are seeking foods associated with functional attributes, such as sour milk, to maintain a healthy lifestyle.
  • Long Term (2029 to 2033): Increasing consumer demand for products with healthy nutritional profiles has led to the introduction of functional and organic dairy products. Functional dairy products are low in calories, enriched with omega-3, and contain specific proteins.
Historical CAGR 5.9%
Historical Market Value (2022) USD 504.82 billion
Forecast CAGR 4.8%

Factors Driving Dairy Products Market

Rise in Population

A growing population, increasing personal disposable income of consumers, increasing awareness of health, an increase in milk production in developing nations, and a rise in protein-enriched food consumption. These are a few of the factors contributing to the growing demand for dairy products.

The Population Reference Bureau estimates that the global population is expected to reach 9.9 billion by the year 2050. Dairy products, such as milk, butter, yogurt, and various other dairy products, are in high demand due to the growth of the population. These products are consumed directly by consumers for a variety of purposes.

Studies have shown that cheese is healthy for heart health, and the increasing awareness of dairy products' health benefits is boosting their demand worldwide. In the next few years, the demand for dairy-based products is estimated to rise significantly as consumers shift from meat to dairy-based products for micronutrients and proteins.

Growth in Government Schemes and Initiatives

As a result of government initiatives and schemes aimed at improving milk production and cattle production, the market is expected to grow. For instance, the Indian Government’s National Dairy Program aims to develop cattle and milk production.

Cheese, dairy desserts, and butter consumption are greatly boosted by the increasing penetration of fast-food chains. The delicious taste and protein content of these dairy products are driving the consumption of dairy products in households. They are widely used in various dishes including pasta, burgers, pizza, and others.

In addition, milk is now considered an essential and everyday product by the majority of households. Therefore, the global dairy products market is expected to grow at a considerable rate during the forecast period.

Nandini Roy Choudhury
Nandini Roy Choudhury

Principal Consultant

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Restraints Faced by Dairy Products Market

The Surge in Demand for Alternatives such as Plant Protein

Due to increased awareness of animal welfare, consumers are increasingly choosing plant-based food alternatives. The perception that plant-based products are healthier and safer is causing plant-based dairy products such as soy milk, almond milk, non-dairy ice cream, cheese analogs, and whipped cream to rapidly enter the mainstream retail market.

Global dairy products market growth is expected to be hindered by rapidly developing dairy alternatives with new product innovations including non-dairy ice cream, cheese alternatives, and whipped creams.

Global dairy products market growth is stymied by an increasing number of people who do not consume lactose. It is also expected that market growth during the forecast period may be restrained by increased lactose intolerance, including allergies to milk or milk-based products, as well as the shift toward vegan diets because of the potential health benefits offered by vegan diets and healthy living.

High Capital Investment

Manufacturers of dairy products must invest a lot of capital to install processing equipment. In addition to high installation costs, dairy product processors also have to pay for timely maintenance, which is a costly addition that affects their operating margins. High capital investments are also expected to limit the market growth.

Category-wise Insights

Product Insights: The Milk Segment is Estimated to Capture Maximum Market Share

With a revenue share of 62% in 2023, the milk segment led the global dairy product market by product type. It is projected to maintain its dominance throughout the forecast period. It is expected to record a CAGR of 3.1% between 2023 and 2033, reaching USD 310.07 billion in 2023.

As a result of the increased consumption of milk in households and various commercial units around the globe, milk has become the dominant product worldwide. As consumers become more aware of the health benefits of milk, this segment is growing rapidly.

However, the yogurt segment is expected to be the most opportunistic segment during the forecast period, as its consumption is increasing. To improve gut health and build strong immunity, consumers prefer to eat yogurt and include it in their regular diets. As a result, yogurt's rising adoption in regular diets is expected to drive the segment's growth during the forecast period.

Segment Product Type
Attributes Milk
Details (CAGR) 3.1%
Market Value USD 4144.13 million
Segment Product Type
Attributes Butter
Details (CAGR) 3.5%
Market Value USD 23.25 billion
Segment Product Type
Attributes Cheese
Details (CAGR) 3.8%
Market Value USD 96.86 billion

Distribution Channel Insights: Supermarket/Hypermarket Stores Set to Remain Attractive

In 2023, supermarket/hypermarket stores dominated the global dairy products market in terms of revenue share with 55%, and this dominance is expected to continue throughout the forecast period. In 2023, the segment is expected to be valued at USD 272.22 billion and is expected to register a 3.1% CAGR.

Due to the wide variety of food and beverage products and household groceries available at supermarkets, they attract a huge customer base. Because supermarkets are located in urban and easily accessible areas, consumers prefer to buy household essentials and groceries on a weekly or monthly basis.

Dairy producers benefit from this sales channel regularly. Due to the rapid growth of online food and grocery delivery platforms, dairy product sales have seen an increase and are projected to grow further.

Segment Distribution Channel
Attributes Supermarket/Hypermarket Stores
Details (CAGR) 3.1%
Market Value USD 272.22 billion
Segment Distribution Channel
Attributes Specialty Stores
Details (CAGR) 2.9%
Market Value USD 16.09 billion
Segment Distribution Channel
Attributes Convenience Stores
Details (CAGR) 2.8%
Market Value USD 167.18 billion

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Region-wise Insights

A Rise in Milk Production Makes Asia Pacific a Dominant Region

Based on revenue share, Asia Pacific is anticipated to dominate the global dairy products market in 2023 with 44.2% and is expected to maintain its dominance during the forecast period. The region is expected to generate revenues of USD 309.8 billion by 2033.

Due to the huge population of this region, Asia Pacific is the leading geographical segment of the global dairy market. In Asia Pacific, dairy products are consumed more frequently, which is beneficial for children's nutritional status and an increasing middle class's livelihood. Among all the dairy products consumed in this region, liquid milk is undoubtedly the most popular.

Consumers are increasingly valuing food that provides them with functional benefits in addition to taste. This is why functional dairy products, such as milk and cheese, are in high demand. In light of these organic dairy alternatives, the market is growing positively.

For instance, the Philippines' leading food and beverage company, Universal Robina Corp, partnered with Asahi Beverages, Philippines, in August 2022, and launched a variety of cultured milk drinks. Cultured milk uses Lactobacillus paracasei MCC1849, which improves the immune system of consumers.

Country-Wise Analysis

What’s Driving the Sales in the United States Dairy Products Market?

The United States is estimated at USD 61.5 billion in 2023 and is projected to experience a CAGR of 2.8% from 2023 to 2033. The United States is estimated to be the most opportunistic market during the forecast period.

The increasing penetration of restaurants and fast-food chains such as Burger King, Pizza Hut, Domino's, and Yum Brands is due to the extensive use of cheese and butter in their products. Furthermore, the growing popularity of yogurt and dairy desserts among Americans during the forecast period is expected to boost the market growth. Consumer awareness of A2 milk is expected to fuel the market growth during the forecast period.

Why are Stakeholders Eyeing India Dairy Products Market?

Nevertheless, India is expected to be the fastest-growing country over the forecast period. India’s dairy products market is expected to reach USD 335.18 billion by 2033 at a 13.2% CAGR. India is characterized by a huge population, increased demand for milk, increasing milk production, rising government initiatives for boosting milk production, growing disposable income, and rapid urbanization.

Rising consumer awareness of the health benefits of dairy products is fueling market growth in India. The increase in milk usage in India was a significant factor contributing to the growing consumption of dairy products.

Aside from providing profitable business opportunities, the Indian dairy product industry also serves as a tool for socioeconomic development. To develop the dairy sector in the country, the Government of India has introduced numerous schemes and initiatives.

For example, the National Dairy Program (Phase-I) aims to improve cattle productivity and increase milk production by expanding and strengthening rural milk procurement infrastructure and providing farmers with enhanced market access. Aside from that, private participation in the Indian dairy sector has also grown in recent years.

Start-up Ecosystem

Start-ups Leverage Processing Technologies and Microbiology: The Dairy Products Market

A prominent application of dairy products in the manufacturing of chocolate is the advent of various food fortification techniques and processing technologies. As a result, the global dairy products market has seen growth due to advancements in the confectionery industry.

Dairy companies from around the world are investing in the dairy products market, attracted by its size and potential. Several value-added products are being developed, including cheese, yogurt, probiotic drinks, etc.

They are also introducing innovative products keeping in mind the specific requirements of global consumers. These players are also improving their milk procurement network which is further facilitating the development of the dairy products industry.

Competitive Landscape: Top Manufacturers of Dairy Products and their Recent Developments

Several local companies operate in the market, which is moderately fragmented. Market players employ strategies to gain more market share, including investments, partnerships, acquisitions, and mergers. Additionally, companies are focusing on improving their products and maintaining competitive pricing as well.

  • In March 2022, Danone's Activia Brand introduces Activia+ in the United States and other North American markets. The drinkable yogurt product comes in strawberry, peach, and raspberry flavors.
  • Danone North America launched its new yogurt product under the Light+Fit brand in February 2022. There are two different flavors available, lemon and orange.
  • In February 2022, New Berlin, New York-based Chobani LLC introduced two all-new dairy products, expanding its refrigerated shelf presence: ultra-filtered milk, lactose-free, protein-packed ultra-filtered milk, and half & half. Like many of the company's other new products, these items come in paper-based packaging that is widely recyclable. They are made from locally sourced milk.
  • In March 2019, The Wallaby yogurt brand was introduced in the United States in three flavors to satisfy health-conscious consumers. It is yogurt with no sugar added.
  • In August 2019, Arla Foods announced a partnership with Walki to provide sustainable and recyclable packaging solutions, thus contributing to its mission to reduce carbon footprints.

key Players Supplying Dairy Products include

  • Arla Foods Amba
  • Nestle
  • Danone
  • Fonterra
  • Lactalis
  • Frieslandcampina
  • DMK Group
  • GCMMF
  • Dairy Farmers of America, Inc.
  • Meiji Holdings Co. Ltd.
  • The Kraft Heinz Company

Scope of Report

Attribute Details
Forecast Period 2023 to 2033
Historical Data Available for 2018 to 2022
Market Analysis USD billion for Value and MT for Volume
Key Regions Covered North America; Latin America; Europe; The Middle East and Africa; East Asia
Key Countries Covered United States, Canada, Brazil, Mexico, Chile, Peru, Germany, United Kingdom, Spain, Italy, France, Russia, Poland, China, India, Japan, Australia, New Zealand, GCC Countries, North Africa, South Africa, and Türkiye
Key Segments Covered Product Type, Distribution channel, Region
Key Companies Profiled Arla Foods Amba; Nestle; Danone; Fonterra; Lactalis; Frieslandcampina; DMK Group; GCMMF; Dairy Farmers of America, Inc.; Meiji Holdings Co. Ltd.; The Kraft Heinz Company
Report Coverage Market Forecast, Company Share Analysis, Competition Intelligence, DROT Analysis, Market Dynamics and Challenges, and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Customization & Pricing Available upon Request

Dairy Products Market Segmentation by Category

By Product Type:

  • Milk
  • Cheese
  • Yogurt
  • Dessert
  • Butter
  • Milk Powder
  • Cream
  • Others

By Distribution Channel:

  • Hypermarket / Supermarket
  • Convenience Store
  • Speciality Store
  • Other

By Region:

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Europe
  • The Middle East and Africa
  • East Asia

Frequently Asked Questions

What was the Dairy Products Market's CAGR from 2018 to 2022?

From 2018 to 2022, global sales increased at a CAGR of 5.9%.

What will be the Dairy Products Market's CAGR between 2023 and 2033?

The Dairy Products Market is to continue to climb at a 4.5% CAGR through 2033.

How huge may the Dairy Products Market be in 2033?

The Dairy Products Market is forecast to attain USD 845.50 billion by 2033.

What is the current Dairy Products Market valuation?

The Dairy Products Market is estimated to be valued at USD 529.05 billion in 2023.

Which product type to lead the Dairy Products Market?

The milk segment commanded the dairy product market by product type in 2023 with an economic share of 62%.

Which distribution channel ought to control the Dairy Products Market?

The supermarket/hypermarket stores segment is projected to attain USD 272.22 billion in value in 2023 and exhibit a 3.1% CAGR.

Table of Content
	1. Executive Summary
	2. Market Overview
	3. Market Background
	4. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast, 2018 to 2033
	5. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Product Type
		5.1. Milk
		5.2. Cheese
		5.3. Yogurt
		5.4. Butter
		5.5. Others
	6. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By End Use
		6.1. Household
		6.2. HoReCa
		6.3. F&B Industry
	7. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Distribution Channel
		7.1. Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
		7.2. Convenience Stores
		7.3. Online Retail Stores
		7.4. Specialty Stores
	8. Global Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Region
		8.1. North America
		8.2. Latin America
		8.3. Europe
		8.4. Asia Pacific
		8.5. MEA
	9. North America Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Country
	10. Latin America Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Country
	11. Europe Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Country
	12. Asia Pacific Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Country
	13. MEA Market Analysis 2018 to 2022 and Forecast 2018 to 2033, By Country
	14. Key Countries Market Analysis
	15. Market Structure Analysis
	16. Competition Analysis
		16.1. Arla Foods amba
		16.2. Fonterra Co-operative Group
		16.3. Archway Food Group
		16.4. Kraft Foods Inc.
		16.5. Nestle S.A.
		16.6. Danone S.A.
		16.7. Royal FrieslandCampina
		16.8. Dairy Farmers of America, Inc.
		16.9. Dean Foods Company
		16.10. General Mills Inc.
		16.11. Anand Milk Union Limited
	17. Assumptions & Acronyms Used
	18. Research Methodology
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