Dairy Alternative Market Outlook for 2024 to 2034

The dairy alternative market is estimated to be valued at USD 23,082 million in 2024. The demand for dairy alternatives is projected to rise at a CAGR of 7.3% from 2024 to 2034. The market is expected to reach a valuation of USD 46,832.6 million by 2034.

Key Market Highlights

  • The growing health consciousness among consumers drives demand for dairy alternatives with lower cholesterol and lesser saturated fats.
  • The rising cases of lactose intolerance stimulate sales of dairy alternatives such as soy milk, almond milk, rice milk, etc.
Attributes Details
Dairy Alternative Market Size, 2024 USD 23,082 million
Anticipated Market Value, 2034 USD 46,832.6 million
Value-based CAGR (2024 to 2034) 7.3%

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Dairy Alternative Market Drivers

Emergence of Vegan Lifestyle and Adoption of Nutrient-rich Diet

The market's growth is fueled by evolving consumer preferences and lifestyle choices. There is a rising adoption of plant-based diets, leading to an increase in demand for dairy alternatives.

Several people are highly inclined toward consuming food products rich in proteins, minerals, and vitamins, which is driving the market further. For example, almond milk's vitamin E and manganese content are high, which helps improve skin quality and protect against cancer.

Rising Awareness about Lactose Intolerance Facilitates a Shift Toward Dairy Alternatives

The rise in the number of people allergic to dairy products and the growing awareness of lactose intolerance and problems related to the condition bolstered growth in the dairy alternative market. Patients are shifting toward lactose-free food and beverages to alleviate their condition. The preference for dairy counterparts is also rising due to animal welfare and sustainability concerns.

Factors Restraining the Dairy Alternative Market

Limited Availability of Raw Materials

The production of dairy alternatives largely depends on the cultivation of crops such as soy, almond, and rice. Shortage of these raw materials due to seasonal and climatic variations acts as a restraint in the market. Besides, rising industrialization and urbanization are leading to deforestation, resulting in less space for agricultural production. This is also expected to pose a threat to the growth of the market, limiting the availability of raw materials.

Allergies Pertaining to Soy and Nuts

The prevalence of food allergies and sensitivities related to soy and nuts is one of the major aspects that restrict market expansion. Nuts and soy are majorly used for the production of dairy alternatives. They are potential allergens causing severe reactions like fever and rashes in people who are susceptible to soy and nuts, and thus, restrict the market’s expansion.

Supply Chain Disruptions

As the market for dairy alternatives is highly dependent on the agriculture sector, cultivation and transportation of the produce are crucial for the market’s growth. Disruptions in the supply chain due to improper management at different stages of transit can inhibit the progress of the market.

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Historical Analysis of the Dairy Alternative Market Vs. Demand Forecast

The dairy alternative market was valued at USD 21,200 million in 2023. The demand for dairy alternatives grew at a CAGR of 7.0% from 2019 to 2023. The pandemic resulted in the slower growth of the market due to supply chain disruptions and lockdown restrictions. As the restrictions were eased, the market demand increased. This is attributed to the growing health awareness and the rising adoption of plant-based food products.

Historical Market Value, 2023 USD 21,200 million
Historical CAGR (2019 to 2023) 7.0%

People increasingly prefer nutrient-rich diets, incorporating dairy alternatives such as soy milk, almond milk, etc., in their daily routines. The rising trend of veganism and the growing awareness of lactose intolerance is also expected to stimulate sales of dairy alternatives over the forecast period. All these factors are anticipated to boost the market.

Expected Market Value, 2034 USD 46,832.6 million
CAGR (2024 to 2034) 7.3%

The market is expected to register a CAGR of 7.3% over the forecast period and reach a value of USD 46,832.6 million by 2034.

Country-wise Insights

Countries CAGR (2024 to 2034)
United States 4.3%
China 3.5%
Germany 8.8%
India 6.8%
United Kingdom 4.9%

Rising Consumer Preference for Sweetened Flavored Soy and Almond Milk in the United States

The United States dairy alternative market is predicted to rise at a CAGR of 4.3% over the forecast period. The factors driving product sales are as follows:

  • The United States is the prominent market for dairy substitutes due to the rising demand for sweetened flavored soy and almond milk.
  • People prefer consuming a wide range of yogurt and ice cream made of dairy alternatives.
  • The growing trend of veganism is also driving sales of dairy alternatives in the United States.

Adoption of Plant-based Diets in the United Kingdom

The United Kingdom dairy alternative market is projected to grow at a CAGR of 4.9% through 2034.

  • The popularity of vegan diets in the United Kingdom is shifting consumers away from animal protein to plant protein.
  • This rising preference for plant-based diets is linked to ethical or religious beliefs, sustainability concerns, health awareness, and environmental and animal rights concerns, which is resulting in market expansion.

Focus on Innovative Product Development in Germany

The market for dairy substitutes in Germany is expected to register a CAGR of 8.8% over the forecast period. The factors responsible for this growth are as follows:

  • The demand for healthy foods and drinks is rising in Germany due to the rising health-conscious population.
  • Dairy alternative-based beverages are frequently consumed as dairy replacements.
  • Manufacturers are concentrating on innovative product development, such as soy juice blends and fresh soy drinks, to increase their profits in the market.
  • Sales of beverages made from dairy alternatives are rising due to the growing consumer demand for vegan-friendly cuisine.

Health Concerns Related to Cows’ Milk Driving Market in India

The market in India is expected to rise at a 6.8% CAGR through 2034.

  • Health concerns about antibiotics and growth hormones commonly found in cow's milk are shifting consumers toward dairy alternatives.
  • The consumption of milk alternatives has steadily increased due to an increasing number of vegans in India.
  • Fortified soy milk is the most popular and easiest-to-find kind of non-dairy milk, which has the same amount of protein as cow's milk and is a very good source of vitamin D and calcium.
  • Brands like Sofit and Staeta's almond and soy milk are popular in India for offering dairy alternative beverages.

Toxic Additives in Dairy Products Fueling Demand for Dairy Alternatives in China

The Chinese dairy alternative market is projected to expand at a CAGR of 3.5% over the forecast period.

  • Rising disposable incomes and expanding populations in China are likely to boost demand for dairy alternatives.
  • The demand for soy milk, almond milk, rice milk, and other dairy substitutes is expected to increase in China.
  • Rising incidences of lactose intolerance and increased health concerns related to toxic additives used in dairy products are driving the market forward.

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Category-wise Insights

The Soy Segment Leads the Market by Source

Top Source Soy
Market Share in 2024 48.2%

Based on the source, the market is segmented into soy, almond, rice, coconut, oats, and others. The soy segment is estimated to hold a significant share of 48.2% of the market. The demand for soy milk is higher due to the following reasons:

  • Rising requirement of products rich in vitamins, minerals, zinc, iron, etc., for proper body growth and metabolism
  • Increasing preference for low-cholesterol and low-fat dairy alternatives to prevent cardiovascular disease and other ailments.

The B2C Segment Facilitates Higher Sales of Dairy Alternatives

Top Distribution Channel B2C
Market Share in 2024 90.8%

Based on the distribution channel, the B2C segment is estimated to lead the market with a share of 90.8%, fueling sales of dairy alternatives.

  • The availability of a wide range of dairy alternatives under one roof boosts sales of products via hypermarkets and supermarkets.
  • Convenience stores also facilitate sales of dairy alternatives due to their accessibility in remote areas.

Competitive Landscape

The dairy alternative market is known for its key players competing to gain a larger share of profit. Manufacturers are focusing more on innovation and substitutes of milk-based products, which is promoting the market to expand.

New players can easily enter the market as the processes involved in dairy alternative production do not require complex technologies. Key players can capitalize on this aspect to increase their market position. This is expected to enhance market competition during the forecast period.

Notable Developments

  • In June 2023, Oatly Group AB introduced two flavors of oat-based cream cheese for vegans in the United States.
  • In November 2021, Blue Diamond introduced an extra creamy textured almond milk made from quality California-grown Blue Diamond almonds.

Key Market Players

  • The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.
  • SunOpta Inc.
  • Danone
  • Oatly
  • Vitasoy International Holdings Limited
  • DAIYA FOODS INC.
  • Melt Organic
  • Living Harvest Foods Inc.
  • Ripple Foods
  • Earth’s Own Food Company Inc.
  • ADM
  • The Whitewave Foods Company
  • Eden Foods, Inc.
  • Nutriops, S.L.
  • Freedom Foods Group Ltd.
  • Blue Diamond Growers
  • CP Kelco
  • Organic Valley Family of Farms
  • Others

Scope of the Market

Attribute Details
Market Size (2024) USD 23,082 million
Market Value (2034) USD 46,832.6 million
Market Analysis USD million for Value
Key Region Covered North America; Latin America; Europe; Asia Pacific; Middle East & Africa (MEA); Others
Key Segments By Source, By Product Type, By Nature, By Distribution Channel, By Region
Key Companies Profiled The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.; SunOpta Inc.; Danone; Oatly; Vitasoy International Holdings Limited; DAIYA FOODS INC.; Melt Organic; Living Harvest Foods Inc.; Ripple Foods; Earth’s Own Food Company Inc.; ADM; The Whitewave Foods Company; Eden Foods, Inc.; Nutriops, S.L.; Freedom Foods Group Ltd.; Blue Diamond Growers; CP Kelco; Organic Valley Family of Farms; Others
Report Coverage Market Forecast, Company Share Analysis, Competition Intelligence, DROT Analysis, Market Dynamics and Challenges, and Strategic Growth Initiatives
Customization & Pricing Available upon Request
Table of Content
  • 1. Executive Summary
  • 2. Market Overview
  • 3. Market Background
  • 4. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast, 2024 to 2034
  • 5. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Source
    • 5.1. Soy
    • 5.2. Almond
    • 5.3. Coconut
    • 5.4. Rice
    • 5.5. Oats
    • 5.6. Others
  • 6. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Product Type
    • 6.1. Non-dairy Milk
    • 6.2. Butter
    • 6.3. Cheeses
    • 6.4. Yogurts
    • 6.5. Ice Cream
    • 6.6. Others
  • 7. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Distribution Channel
    • 7.1. Supermarkets/Hypermarkets
    • 7.2. Convenience Stores
    • 7.3. Online Retail
    • 7.4. Others
  • 8. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Region
    • 8.1. North America
    • 8.2. Latin America
    • 8.3. Western Europe
    • 8.4. Eastern Europe
    • 8.5. South Asia and Pacific
    • 8.6. East Asia
    • 8.7. Middle East and Africa
  • 9. North America Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 10. Latin America Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 11. Western Europe Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 12. Eastern Europe Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 13. South Asia and Pacific Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 14. East Asia Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 15. Middle East and Africa Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Country
  • 16. Key Countries Market Analysis
  • 17. Market Structure Analysis
  • 18. Competition Analysis
    • 18.1. The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.
    • 18.2. SunOpta Inc.
    • 18.3. Danone
    • 18.4. Oatly
    • 18.5. Vitasoy International Holdings Limited
    • 18.6. DAIYA FOODS INC.
    • 18.7. Freedom Foods Group Ltd.
    • 18.8. Living Harvest Foods Inc.
    • 18.9. The Whitewave Foods Company
    • 18.10. Earth’s Own Food Company Inc.
  • 19. Assumptions & Acronyms Used
  • 20. Research Methodology

Key Segments Covered in the Dairy Alternative Market

By Source:

  • Soy
  • Almond
  • Rice
  • Coconut
  • Oats
  • Others

By Product:

  • Regular/ Unflavoured
    • Soy Milk
    • Almond Milk
    • Coconut Milk
    • Oat Milk
    • Others (Hemp, Flax, etc.)
  • Flavored
    • Soy Milk
    • Almond Milk
    • Coconut Milk
    • Oat Milk
    • Others (Hemp, Flax, etc.)

By Nature:

  • Organic
  • Conventional

By Distribution Channel:

  • Direct Sales/ B2B
  • Indirect Sales/ B2C
    • Hypermarkets/ Supermarkets
    • Convenience Stores
    • Mass Grocery Retailers
    • Specialty Stores
    • Online Retail

By Region:

  • North America
  • Latin America
  • Europe
  • Asia Pacific
  • Middle East & Africa (MEA)
  • Others

Frequently Asked Questions

How Big is the Dairy Alternative Market in 2024?

The dairy alternative market is estimated to be worth USD 23,082 million in 2024.

What is the Expected Valuation of the Dairy Alternative Market by 2034?

The market is expected to reach a valuation of USD 46,832.6 million by 2034.

What is the Growth Potential for Dairy Alternatives Over the Forecast Period?

The market is projected to rise at a CAGR of 7.3% through 2034.

Which is the Leading Source of Dairy Alternative Production?

The soy segment is estimated to hold a leading share of 48.2% of the market by source type.

Which Country is Rapidly Growing in the Dairy Alternative Market?

The demand for dairy alternatives is rapidly rising in Germany at a CAGR of 8.8% through 2034.

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