Buy Now Pay Later Market Outlook from 2024 to 2034

The global buy now pay later market is expected to reach the valuation of USD 11,156.0 million in 2024. According to the analysis, the industry is projected to grow at a CAGR of 21.8% from 2024 to 2034 with global adoption of digital solutions. The industry is foreseen to surpass USD 80,207.1 million accounting mass development of the digital payment industry through 2034.

Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services are becoming increasingly vital for today’s consumers and businesses as these allow customers to do diversity of purchases without paying the full amount upfront spreading the cost over time and often without paying extra interest. This flexibility decreases financial pressure on consumers making high demanding items more accessible and boosting sales for retailers.

BNPL platforms simplify the payment process by making it easier and faster for customers to complete transactions online and in-store wherever they want to use, so that I can be easily accessible. Also, these services helps to improve customer insights by tailoring the businesses and their marketing strategies by improving customer retention.

With the increasing benefit of secure transactions and easy integration with existing payment systems, BNPL solutions are modernizing the shopping experience and also propelling significant growth in the retail and e-commerce sectors.

Global Buy Now Pay Later Industry Assessment

Attributes Key Insights
Historical Size, 2023 USD 9,267.3 million
Estimated Size, 2024 USD 11,156.0 million
Projected Size, 2034 USD 80,207.1 million
Value-based CAGR (2024 to 2034) 21.8%

The widespread internet penetration is revolutionizing the globe by creating a positive outlook for the Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) industry. According to industry data, about 63% of the world's population have used internet in 2023, so it describes that more people engage online, the assumption of digital financial services, including BNPL is rising speedily.

The ease of accessing the internet has made it simpler for consumers to explore and utilize BNPL options when shopping online. This is mainly strong in e-commerce where consumers prefer flexible payment methods.

Also, the growth of internet infrastructure in rural and remote areas is opening up new industries for BNPL services which is contributing to subscriber base growth. Governments are also playing a major role by helping digital financial inclusion and supporting fintech innovations.

The governments initiatives aim at increasing internet accessibility and encouraging digital payments to drove the adoption of BNPL services mainly among younger, tech-savvy consumers. BNPL Providers are improving their platforms for better user experience, offering seamless integration with online stores and personalized payment plans. These improvements combined with targeted promotions and discounts are creating BNPL a popular choice for consumers significantly fueling the growth of the industry.

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Semi Annual Market Update

The below table presents the anticipated CAGR for the global buy now pay later market over several semi-annual periods spanning from 2024 to 2034. This assessment outlines changes in the buy now pay later industry and identify revenue trends, offering key decision makers an understanding about market performance throughout the year.

H1 symbolizes first half of the year from January to June, H2 spans from July to December, which is the second half. In the first half (H1) of the year from 2023 to 2033, the business is expected to grow at a CAGR of 21.7%, followed by an increased growth rate of 21.2% in the second half (H2) of the same year.

Particular Value CAGR
H1, 2023 21.7% (2023 to 2033)
H2, 2023 20.4% (2023 to 2033)
H1, 2024 21.2% (2024 to 2034)
H2, 2024 20.8% (2024 to 2034)

Moving into the subsequent period, from H1 2024 to H2 2034, the CAGR is projected to increase slightly to 20.4% in the first half and remain higher at 20.8% in the second half. In the first half (H1) the market witnessed a decrease of 50 BPS while in the second half (H2), the market witnessed an increase of 40 BPS.

Key Industry Highlights

E-Commerce Growth Fuels the Rise of BNPL Services for Online Shoppers

The rise in e-commerce industry has significantly surged the adoption of Buy Now Pay Later services globally as more people shop online mainly after the pandemic, the demand for flexible payment options has improved greatly which lets users to buy products and pay for them in installments that makes it a striking option for online shoppers those who want to manage their budgets without using credit cards

For example, in 2023, retail e-commerce sales in the USA only reached USD 284.1 billion in the third quarter which has shown how much online shopping has been increased. This growing in e-commerce is directly boosting the use of BNPL services as consumers look for more convenient ways to pay.

Companies like PayPal and Afterpay have comprehended significant growth in their BNPL aids with Afterpay reporting a 63% increase in active users globally in 2022, showing the robust link between online shopping and BNPL application.

Surge in Mobile Wallets and Digital Payment Apps fueling the Business Growth

The incorporation of Buy Now Pay Later services with mobile wallets and digital payment apps have soared in financial technology sector. Many major Mobile wallets companies like Apple Pay, Google Pay and Samsung Pay is increasingly becoming more popular and are used widely by the customers, BNPL providers are associating with these platforms to offer seamless payment options.

This led consumers to use BNPL services within their mobile wallet apps by making it easier to manage and track their purchases easily.

For example, PayPal's BNPL service pay in 4 installments can be used within their mobile wallet allowing users to split payments for online and in-store purchases. This streamlines the payment process and develops the user experience. For example, in 2023, mobile wallet usage is predictable to exceed 1.3 billion users globally by 2025 thus highlighting the growing popularity of these platforms.

As consumers adopt mobile wallets, BNPL services are progressively being embedded into these apps to deliver the demand for flexible payment solutions. Which benefits consumers by providing more convenient payment options but also helps BNPL providers reach a broader audience and increase global presence.

Expansion of BNPL Services Internationally Opens Doors to Growing E-Commerce Markets

Expanding Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) services into foreign markets offers a big chance to grow. As online shopping booms worldwide more people want flexible ways to pay beyond their home countries. Many nations see a surge in internet purchases setting the stage for BNPL services to thrive.

Markets in Asia-Pacific, Latin America, and parts of Europe are seeing more online shopping, but BNPL options are still new in these areas. By moving into these foreign markets, BNPL providers can reach a huge untapped group of customers who want easy payment choices. Tweaking BNPL services to match local payment likes and rules can also help them break into markets and get more users.

Also the successful industry gives BNPL firms a chance to spread out their income sources and rely less on their home markets. They can grow by teaming up with local online shopping platforms, phone payment apps, and banks, which helps them get a foot in the door in new areas. As more shoppers worldwide switch to buying stuff online, BNPL options can become a go-to choice leading to big increases in global use and market expansion.

Concerns Regarding the Regulatory Scrutiny May Significantly Affect Buy Now Pay Later Market Growth in the Projected Timeframe

The Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) market faces a major challenge from tougher regulatory framworks as more people use BNPL, consumers are keeping a closer eye on these services. The concerns about protecting customers and keeping money matters stable is a major challenge. Governments are bringing in stricter regulations to make sure BNPL companies play fair and operate transparently.

For instance, countries like UK and Australia have new regulations in place that make BNPL firms do better credit checks and spell out their terms more to users. These steps aim to stop people from getting into too much debt and to help them understand what BNPL costs. But these new rules can make things harder and pricier for BNPL providers to follow.

Also, BNPL companies can change a lot from one country to another making it tough to operate across borders. To adapt to different sets of rules takes a lot of time and money, which can slow down plans to enter new markets or grow significantly. As BNPL services continues to grow, navigating this evolving regulatory landscape while keeping customers' trust and running is a big challenge for these companies. Finding a way to follow the rules and still come up with new ideas will be crucial if they want to keep growing as regulators ask for more.

Sudip Saha
Sudip Saha

Principal Consultant

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2019 to 2023 Global Buy Now Pay Later Sales Outlook Compared to Demand Forecast from 2024 to 2034

The global buy now pay later market registered a CAGR of 18.5% during the historic period between 2019 and 2023. The growth of buy now pay later industry was progressive as it reached a value of USD 9,267.3 million in 2023 from USD 4,702.5 million in 2019.

From 2019 to 2023, the BNPL industry has significantly upsurge in e-commerce and increasing consumer preference for flexible payment options. BNPL services increased popularity as online shoppers sought convenient ways to achieve their finances without trusting on traditional credit cards. This tendency was particularly evident in retail where BNPL providers testified substantial increases in transaction volumes and user adoption.

Also, the industry faced several challenges during this period with Higher consumer debt levels and regulatory scrutiny with many governments introducing stricter rules to certify fair lending practices and consumer protection. The cost of implementing and maintaining BNPL platforms posed barriers to entry for smaller players.

Looking ahead to 2024 to 2034, experts predict the BNPL market continues to grow due to new technological advancements and the growth in online shopping. Integration between mobile wallets and digital payment systems is likely to drove the adoption of BNPL.

This is true in developing areas where digital payment systems are getting better. However, the market faces some hurdles. These include tougher regulations and other ways to get financing that might slow down growth. In the end, while the BNPL market looks promising how fast it grows will depend on what's happening in different regions and how laws change.

Market Concentration

In the global buy now pay later market, Tier 1 companies hold a notable market share of 50% to 55%, making them the market leaders. These buy now pay later providers have extensive global reach and customer bases across the globe. These players may have their own data centers which assist them in optimizing the performance and protect the sensitive customer data. Key companies in the tier 1 are PayPal, Afterpay, Klarna, and Affirm.

Tier 2 business in buy now pay later market may not have the extensive customer bases as compared to tier 1 players. However, these players hold respectable market share and are known for their limited financial offerings. The tier 2 players mainly partner with solution providers and industry providers for their customer experience and improve user experience. Prominent companies in tier 2 contain Sezzle, Splitit, and Quadpay.

Tier 3 businesses are small sized firms and emerging startups that may lacks the global customer network as compared to tier 1 and tier 2 players. This players are majorly operate in specific country or region and emphasize on providing local content that aligns with the local interest.

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Country-wise Insights

The below country-wise market analysis of the buy now pay later explains the recent developments and different government approaches in the market. The analysis also gives an idea of the country’s expected progress in the market landscape.

Countries Value CAGR (2024 to 2034)
USA 19.4%
Germany 21.1%
China 24.3%
India 28.0%
UK 19.7%

Smartphone Penetration Fuels Rapid Growth in USA Buy Now, Pay Later Market

The tech-savvy population in the United States is highly contributing to the speedy growth of the Buy Now Pay Later industry. At about 85% of Americans owning smartphones, these devices have become crucial for retrieving various digital services including BNPL applications. The extensive uses of smartphones allow consumers to easily manage and monitor their BNPL transactions through dedicated apps that helps user convenience and adoption rates.

Recent industry data shows that BNPL usage has upsurge as consumers progressively prefer flexible payment options integrated into their shopping experiences. A report from the Consumer Financial Protection Bureau highlights that BNPL transactions grew by 60% in the past year alone and the accessibility of BNPL apps on mobile devices supports this by contribution seamless integration into online and in-store purchases and fueling the industry expansion

Government Policies Drive Rapid Growth in China's Buy Now, Pay Later Market

China’s government support for digital financial services is playing a major role in fast expansion of the Buy Now, Pay Later market. The country’s government has widely implemented numerous policies to endorse the development of digital finance with the aim to improve financial inclusion and innovation.

Major Initiatives like the Digital Currency Electronic Payment (DCEP) and supportive regulations for fintech startups creates a promising environment for BNPL services. BNPL usage in China has been growing continuously by these supportive policies.

For example, the report by China Banking and Insurance Regulatory Commission, BNPL industry will grow by over 70% from last year. This growth is sustained by the government's energies to incorporate digital financial services into the mainstream economy providing consumers with easier access to credit options.

Innovative Fintech Solutions Proples Rapid BNPL Growth in India

In India the fintech companies is rapidly growing the Buy Now, Pay Later industry. The Innovative fintech solutions are renovating the financial landscape by offering flexible and available payment options. Major startups like Paytm, Pine Labs and ZestMoney are foremost the charge by providing BNPL services that cater to diverse consumer needs.

The India's escalating fintech sector is has been widely supported by the country's high smartphone penetration and increasing digital payments adoption. With over 600 million smartphone users, fintech apps are easily accessible to a large population. For example, reserve Bank of India indicates a 45% increase in digital transactions over the past year by highlighting the growing preference for alternative payment methods.

Category-wise Insights

The below section provides the category wise insights in the market with recent developments and future projections.

BNPL APIs Drive Market Growth with Seamless Integration and Enhanced Flexibility

Solution Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) APIs
Value Share (2024) 54.0%

Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) APIs dominates the industry by its versatility and comfort of integration. BNPL APIs allow seamless incorporation of payment solutions into e-commerce platforms, retail websites and mobile apps. This allows merchants to offer flexible payment options without having to develop in-house solutions helps widespread adoption.

News by BNPL APIs has surged by 50% in the past year, replicating their growing importance in the financial ecosystem. Companies like Klarna, Affirm, and Afterpay are at the forefront offering strong APIs to make payments smoother and improve how people use their services.

Finextra and TechCrunch have reported on how BNPL APIs help companies boost their sales and bring in more customers by giving them easy and flexible ways to pay. This increased use of BNPL APIs highlights how essential they are to the growth of the BNPL market.

Large Enterprises Capture Major Share of BNPL Market Through Strategic Partnerships and Financial Strength

Enterprise Size Large Enterprises (500-999 employees)
Value Share (2024) 32.0%

Large enterprises (500-999 employees) has the more access in their extensive customer base and robust financial capabilities. These companies often partner with BNPL providers to offer flexible payment options by enhancing their attractiveness to consumers. Their proven infrastructure and important marketing budgets ease wide BNPL adoption.

According to a Finextra, large enterprises accounted for 40% of the BNPL market in 2023 which has the dominance for their ability to leverage BNPL solutions to boost sales and attract a diverse customer base as highlighted by industry updates from Business Insider and Financial Times.

Competitive Landscape

Key players operating in the buy now pay late rmarket are investing in advanced technologies and also entering into partnerships. Key buy now pay later providers have also been acquiring smaller players to grow their presence to further penetrate the market across multiple regions.

Recent Industry Developments in Buy Now Pay Later Market:

  • For Instance, In December 2023, Zip Co. has announced a collaboration with Google Pay to provide customers and merchants in the USA with enhanced payment options at checkout. This partnership aims to integrate Zip's innovative Zip Pay-In-4 service, issued by WebBank, into Google Pay, offering Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) solutions to consumers shopping online.
  • For Instance, in February 2023, Splitit and Ingenico, a global leader in payment acceptance solutions, a white-label card-based installment platform, have partnered to introduce a revolutionary Buy Now, Pay Later (BNPL) solution at physical checkout points. This collaboration aims to streamline the BNPL experience by offering a one-touch, no-interest payment option to consumers using PPaaS (Payments-Platform-as-a-Service) by Ingenico and Splitit's Installments-as-a-Service solution.
  • In April 2022, CRED launched an application, CRED Flash, to enter into the buy now pay later service. CRED Flash would enable users to make payments on the application and across over 500 partner merchants, including Urban Company, Zpto, and Swiggy. It allows users to clear the bill in 30 days at no charge.

Key Players of Buy Now Pay Later Industry

  • Klarna Inc.
  • Affirm, Inc.
  • Finflux
  • Fortunesoft
  • Splitit
  • Zip Co Limited
  • Latitude Financial Services
  • Humm Group
  • Openpay
  • i2c Inc.
  • Amount, Inc.
  • APEXX Fintech Limited
  • Four Technologies, Inc.

Key Segments of Buy Now Pay Later Industry

By Solution:

In terms of solution, the industry is divided into Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) Software, Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) APIs and Services.

By Enterprise Size:

In terms of enterprise size, the industry is divided into small offices (1–9 employees), small enterprises (10-99 employees), medium-sized enterprise (100-499 employees), large enterprises (500-999 employees), very large enterprises (1,000+ employees.

By Industry:

The industry is classified by industry as BFSI, retail & ecommerce, healthcare, media & entertainment, travel & tourism, automotive, others.

By Region:

Key countries of North America, Latin America, East Asia, South Asia & Pacific, Western Europe, Eastern Europe, and Middle East & Africa (MEA) have been covered in the report.

Frequently Asked Questions

What is the future of global buy now pay later industry?

The global buy now pay later industry is projected to witness CAGR of 21.8% between 2024 and 2034.

What was the worth of the global buy now pay later industry in 2023?

The global buy now pay later industry stood at USD 9,267.3 million in 2023.

What will the worth of global buy now pay later industry by 2034 end?

The global buy now pay later industry is anticipated to reach USD 80,207.1 million by 2034 end.

Which region to showcase the highest CAGR during forecast period?

South Asia & Pacific is set to record the highest CAGR of 25.8% in the assessment period.

Who are the key manufacturer of global buy now pay later industry?

The key players operating in the global buy now pay later industry include Klarna Inc., Affirm, Inc., Finflux, Fortunesoft, Splitit, Zip Co Limited, Latitude Financial Services, Humm Group, Openpay among others.

Table of Content
1. Executive Summary
2. Content Type Introduction, including Taxonomy and Market Definition
3. Market Trends and Success Factors, including Macro-economic Factors, Market Dynamics, and Recent Content Type Developments
4. Global Market Demand Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, including Historical Analysis and Future Projections
5. Pricing Analysis
6. Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Solution
    6.1. Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) Software
    6.2. Buy Now Pay Later (BNPL) APIs
    6.3. Services
7. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Enterprise Size
    7.1. Small Offices (1-9 employees)
    7.2. Small Enterprises (10-99 employees)
    7.3. Medium-sized Enterprise (100-499 employees)
    7.4. Large Enterprises (500-999 employees)
    7.5. Very Large Enterprises (1,000+ employees)
8. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, By Industry
    8.1. BFSI
    8.2. Retail & eCommerce
    8.3. Healthcare
    8.4. Media & Entertainment
    8.5. Travel & Tourism
    8.6. Automotive
    8.7. Others
9. Global Market Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Region
    9.1. North America
    9.2. Latin America
    9.3. Western Europe
    9.4. Eastern Europe
    9.5. East Asia
    9.6. South Asia and Pacific
    9.7. Middle East and Africa
10. North America Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
11. Latin America Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
12. Western Europe Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
13. Eastern Europe Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
14. East Asia Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
15. South Asia & Pacific Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
16. Middle East and Africa Sales Analysis 2019 to 2023 and Forecast 2024 to 2034, by Key Segments and Countries
17. Sales Forecast 2024 to 2034 by Solution, Platform, and Content Type for 30 Countries
18. Competition Outlook, including Market Structure Analysis, Company Share Analysis by Key Players, and Competition Dashboard
19. Company Profile
    19.1. Klarna Inc.
    19.2. Affirm, Inc.
    19.3. Finflux
    19.4. Fortunesoft
    19.5. Splitit
    19.6. Zip Co Limited
    19.7. Latitude Financial Services
    19.8. Humm Group
    19.9. Openpay
    19.10. i2c Inc.
    19.11. Amount, Inc.
    19.12. APEXX Fintech Limited
    19.13. Four Technologies, Inc.
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