FMI forecasts revenue growth of the automotive aftermarket to expand from USD 150 billion in 2023 to USD 264 billion by 2033. Market growth exhibits a decline in CAGR, going from 7.7% in 2017 to 2022 to 5.8% in 2023 to 2033.
The market is changing in favor of digitalization due to the growing effect of technological innovation. The marketplace is evolving as the aftermarket transitions to the internet. The favorable distribution channel for automotive aftermarkets is online retailers, who offer both products and services.
Original Equipment Manufacturers (OEMs), Original Equipment Suppliers (OESs), distributors, insurers, and workshops are just a few of the value chain participants responding to the expanding online aftermarket trend.
A few growth opportunities for automotive aftermarket expansion throughout the projected period include increased consumer and passenger vehicle production, the use of advanced technologies in auto part fabrication, and the digitization of automotive repair and maintenance services.
For instance, PSA, a French automaker, has included the independent automotive aftermarket heavily into its five-year growth plan, Push to Pass. In addition to a number of acquisitions, PSA has introduced a number of its brands throughout the whole value chain.
| Attributes | Details |
|---|---|
| APEJ Automotive Aftermarket CAGR (2023 to 2033) | 5.8% |
| APEJ Automotive Aftermarket Size (2023) | USD 150 billion |
| APEJ Automotive Aftermarket Size (2033) | USD 264 billion |
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The automotive aftermarket industry has been exhibiting great strength over the last few years, facing numerous challenges, handling volatility, and operational hardships. It has been undergoing a transformation driven by dynamic consumer preferences and product innovations.
The transposition of a duopolistic market to a fiercely competitive commercial vehicle market has enabled automotive aftermarket exhibit growth in the two-wheeler space, apart from experiencing qualitative changes in terms of better performance, improved fuel efficiency, enhanced safety and comfort, technology adaptation, and improved activities to streamline connectivity.
With all these changes, the aftermarket has held its momentum, with companies introducing innovative solutions with a wider network reach, digital solutions, and many other initiatives.
The APEJ automotive aftermarket share was USD 96 billion in 2017. As automotive aftermarket components are gaining higher usage in the APEJ region, they are likely to continue to impact automotive industry growth, reaching USD 139 billion in 2022.
With a number of end-use industries affected in several countries, profitable growth has also been impacted due to challenges in the retail environment and supply chain. The oversupply and shortage in demand are expected to result in a significant drop in Y-O-Y growth, yet FMI expects APEJ Automotive aftermarket to grow at 5.8% CAGR through 2033.
The changing dynamics of the key companies of the automotive aftermarket and their deciding strategies have led to an identifiable shift and restructure in the automotive components industry.
Mergers and acquisitions have created mega-suppliers who have been responsible to meet the intrinsic needs of automotive customers. These suppliers and part distributors have in turn reorganized the rest of the value chain, effectively managing the tier-2 suppliers and developing supply systems in more than one location.
The automotive components industry is now increasingly focused on companies that can design, manufacture and provide systems and sub-assemblies across different markets.
Some of the leading manufacturers of the automotive aftermarket industry are investing in research and development activities to gain a competitive advantage. Product development strategies and product positioning are adopted by suppliers to establish a market foothold in APEJ automotive aftermarket.
The manufacturers are partnering with technical service providers to gain technical expertise in the field. With companies around the world increasingly focusing on research initiatives, expansion is on the card.
The transformation of the mobility sector is likely to influence the automotive aftermarket outlook, re-initiating production processes, parts design, supply chains, and research and development (R&D) initiatives. New production facilities have to be prepared for these future trends, considering the rising demand for electric vehicles.
Principal Consultant
A significant number of regulations and government policies in the automobile industry are expected to impact the production, installation, and usage of automotive aftermarket components. This need for regulations has risen from the necessity of standardizing equipment, regional segregation of markets, and identifying organized sectors across the automotive industry.
The automotive aftermarket in APEJ is subject to various regulations imposed by governments. These regulations often determine the way automobiles are designed, the process followed for manufacturing vehicle parts, and safety standards. In fact, the sector has to comply with various emission control regulations.
For instance, in 2016 the government of India announced that the country would altogether skip BS V forms and jump straight into BS VI regulations by 2020. In fact, recently, the Supreme Court of India has banned the sales and registration of vehicles conforming to the Bharat Stage IV standard, starting April 2020 onward.
Implementation of stringent regulations such as these is expected to have a profound impact on automotive aftermarket share.
| Country | China |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2033) | USD 160.5 billion |
| Absolute Dollar Growth (2023 to 2033) | USD 69.3 billion |
| Country | India |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2033) | USD 31.3 billion |
| Absolute Dollar Growth (2023 to 2033) | USD 13.1 billion |
| Country | South Korea |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2033) | USD 14.2 billion |
| Absolute Dollar Growth (2023 to 2033) | USD 5.6 billion |
| Country | Australia |
|---|---|
| Market Share (2033) | USD 20.4 billion |
| Absolute Dollar Growth (2023 to 2033) | USD 8.4 billion |
Although the turbulent automotive aftermarket growth in China has attracted several global automakers in the past few years, the market still shows a fall down from 7.4% in 2017 to 2022 to 5.8% by 2033.
The country is now seen as the largest automotive market in the world, with a growing inclination towards the aftermarket.
The shift from new auto sales to the rapid advancement in the country’s automotive aftermarket provides fruitful opportunities for the Chinese market. Activities related to manufacturing, distribution, remanufacturing, retail, and installation of auto components, auto parts, accessories, and services are among the core areas of the aftermarket.
A notable contribution to the aftermarket growth comes from consumables directly related to mileage covered. Recently, the government of China has pushed for adopting the use of new-energy vehicles (NEVs), to reduce high emissions from petrol as well as gas engines. The government has laid a strong exemption from tax for consumers purchasing NEVs, to increase usage, and acceptance and reduce pollution.
The industry structure is said to offer attractive growth opportunities based on a thorough understanding of the APEJ automotive aftermarket dynamics. A study of customer requirements helps to build a profitable business model.
As the industry is witnessing a higher degree of competition, it is moving towards consolidation. Government policy directives that had been issued over the past few years have focused on minimizing the number of auto-component suppliers, which has led to market consolidation.
FMI has projected India to remain one of the most lucrative markets throughout the course of the forecast period. By 2033, the market is expected to develop at a CAGR of 5.6%, down from its historical CAGR of 7.3%.
One of the key factors supporting growth is the government’s announcement to abolish the Goods and Services Tax (GST), followed by the reintroduction of the Sales and Services Tax (SST), which came into effect on 1 September 2018. Therefore, sales of new vehicles were boosted.
The rising population in the country means that the vehicle fleet is bound to grow in the next few years, hence there are several growth opportunities for the automotive aftermarket. It is optimistic about growing sales and increasing customer expectations.
Also, India is attracting a lot of global car brands. Backed by these factors, India remains one of the largest markets for automotive aftermarket players and makes it a lucrative pocket for manufacturers.
The automotive industry in Korea has played a very significant role in shaping the country’s economy. Some of the key companies in the automotive aftermarket in Korea are Hyundai Motors, Kia Motors, General Motors, and Renault Samsung. The country’s market value increased 1.2 times in the last 5 years.
This growth was due to the influence of government agencies, regulating automobiles and automobile parts sales and production in Korea. Despite these growth factors, it is predicted that the automotive aftermarket industry in South Korea would expand at a slower rate of 5.2% as opposed to 6.8% from 2017 to 2022.
All automobiles and their parts and components must comply with the Korean Motor Vehicle Safety Standards (KMVSS) underlined by the Motor Vehicle Management Act. In order to produce or import automobiles in the country, the owner must obtain emission and noise certifications under the concerned government bodies.
Currently, all diesel-driven vehicles are subject to the Euro 6 standards in the country. These factors provide fruitful opportunities for automotive aftermarket players.
Among ASEAN countries, Thailand is one of the largest markets for the automotive aftermarket. The emerging automotive aftermarket in Thailand is expected to grow considerably in the coming years.
In the country, Bangkok is likely to maintain its position to be the key driver of the independent aftermarket, while the Northern territories contribute to the aftermarket growth in the coming five years. The growth in ownership of passenger cars is due to the growing cross-border trade between Thailand and Lao PDR.
The increase in market share of car brands, like Hyundai and Kia, and Chinese brands in the commercial vehicles segment in the country cites new opportunities in the domestic automotive aftermarket.
The key attributing factor is market liberalization, which leads to more vehicle availability and increases the number of products needed in the aftermarket, which drives the industrial growth in the country.
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| Segment | Vehicle Type |
|---|---|
| Top Sub-segments | Passenger Cars |
| CAGR (2017 to 2022) | 7.6% |
| CAGR (2023 to 2033) | 5.4% |
| Segment | Category |
|---|---|
| Top Sub-segments | Parts |
| CAGR (2017 to 2022) | 7.2% |
| CAGR (2023 to 2033) | 5.1% |
The passenger cars segment continues, accounting for more than half of the global share among products through the forecast period. According to FMI, the segment is expected to hold a little above 70% of the market, by the end of 2033.
This is because passenger car users rely heavily on a vast network of parts/component distributors/suppliers, and maintenance and repair professionals, and rely on holistic repair solutions to keep their vehicles in efficient performance and longevity.
A typical commercial vehicle is subjected to odder driving conditions than a passenger vehicle, hence the role of the aftermarket is intended to provide a longer service life to these vehicles to ensure optimum running.
Since a lot of fleet operators are experiencing challenges concerning costs, the aftermarket targets to reduce the total cost of ownership of a commercial vehicle, by providing robust solutions.
Parts constitute the leading share in the automotive aftermarket, based on category. The rising demand for tires, batteries, lighting, and filters, among others, is directly related to the surging car sales.
Innovations in automotive parts to complement state-of-the-art designs of modern vehicles have been a key contributor towards growth registered in the category. This automotive aftermarket trend is expected to continue, sealing the dominance of the parts segment through the forecast period.
The APEJ automotive aftermarket is highly competitive, marked by the presence of global as well as regional players offering cost-competitive products. Some of the players are focusing to carve a niche for specific demography.
The APEJ automotive aftermarket is characterized by a large supplier base and strong B2B networks. The participants have robust technical know-how in a cut-throat competition. Existing players are engaging in tie-ups with technical associations and researchers. There is ample focus on innovations.
Developments in raw materials, such as rubber, plastic, and steel, create new avenues for product positioning. Suppliers are adopting acquisition and regional expansion strategies to establish a strong foothold.
Brand consciousness and aggressive marketing make it challenging for new entrants in the APEJ automotive aftermarket. Through these developments, key companies are aiming at a competitive advantage. A slew of new launches can be seen in the coming years.
For instance:
The APEJ automotive aftermarket is estimated to be worth USD 150 billion in 2023.
The APEJ automotive aftermarket is expected to have a CAGR of 5.8% by 2033.
The APEJ automotive aftermarket expanded at 7.7% CAGR in the last five years, from 2017 to 2022.
China accounted for nearly 5.8% CAGR in the APEJ automotive aftermarket by 2033.
India is anticipated to have a 5.6% CAGR in the APEJ automotive aftermarket by 2033.
1. Executive Summary | APEJ Automotive Aftermarket 2. Market Overview 3. Market Background 4. Market Analysis 2017 to 2022 and Forecast, 2023 to 2033 5. Market Analysis 2017 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Category 5.1. Parts 5.1.1. Tires 5.1.2. Batteries 5.1.3. Filters 5.1.4. Starters and Alternators 5.1.5. Lighting 5.1.6. Exhaust components 5.1.7. Spark Plugs 5.1.8. Lubricants 5.1.9. Collision body 5.1.10. Wear and Tear Parts 5.2. Accessories 5.2.1. Interior 5.2.2. Exterior 5.3. Services 5.3.1. General Automotive Repair 5.3.2. Automotive Transmission 6. Market Analysis 2017 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Vehicle Type 6.1. Passenger Cars 6.2. Commercial Vehicles 7. Market Analysis 2017 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Region 7.1. APEJ 8. Market Analysis 2017 to 2022 and Forecast 2023 to 2033, By Country 9. Key Countries Automotive Aftermarket Analysis 10. Market Structure Analysis 11. Competition Analysis 11.1. Bosch 11.2. Denso Corporation 11.3. Hella KGaA Hueck & Co. 11.4. Continental AG 11.5. Delphi Automotive PLC 11.6. 3M 11.7. Aisin Seiki Co., Ltd. 11.8. Bridgestone Corporation 11.9. ZF Friedrichshafen AG 11.10. Mahle GmbH 12. Assumptions & Acronyms Used 13. Research Methodology
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APEJ Automotive Aftermarket
